Property Assets Soar
New Zealand's collective household wealth
has soared in value over the past decade, thanks mostly to an increase in the
value of property assets. According to Statistics New Zealand, the net worth of
New Zealand households rose from $886 billion in 2007 to $1.5 trillion today, a
jump of 69 percent. Kiwis are not feeling the direct effects of these riches,
however, with wealth tied up in real estate and pension funds, household debt
levels high, savings rates low, and the distribution curve far from equal.
Most of the rapid increase in wealth can be
attributed to the property market, with property assets owned by households
rising by $316 billion over the decade. Most of this growth occurred after
2012, which is when the Auckland real estate market really started to bubble.
Growth in pension fund assets has also been incredibly strong since March 2012,
with value in this sector up $51 billion, or 204 percent, since March 2007.
About 88 percent of this rise was from contributions to funds.
It's important to be realistic about rising
household wealth, however, with Infometric chief forecaster Gareth Kiernan
saying the real increase was only 24 percent over the decade when adjusted for
inflation. While this figure jumps to 40 percent in the last five years, it's
still a long way from 69 percent over ten years when inflation is not accounted
for. There are other reasons why you may not be feeling particularly rich, with
the vast majority of wealth tied up in real estate, which you can't access
until after you sell a property, and pension funds, which you can't access
until you're 65.
According to Cameron Bagrie from Bagrie
Economics, Kiwis are richer but not everyone is feeling it: "Asset prices
have risen sharply. Shares, property
prices, you name it and it's up. That partly reflects the impetus to asset
prices from extraordinary policy stimulus from central banks post the global
financial crisis...We're seeing the benefit of the likes of KiwiSaver, and a
bit more diversification in terms of where people put their money though
housing is still a fair chunk of the balance sheet. However, those wealth gains
haven't accrued across the board to everyone."
With so much money tied up in housing and
other assets, and household debt levels high as a result, people are not saving
as much as they should be. According to Bagrie, "The household savings
rate is negative, so for a lot of households there is more money going out the
door than what is coming in... Though, one reason for a low savings rate could be
growth in the value of assets, which means people feel less need to save. I
think the low savings rate reflects how expensive New Zealand is to live and
there are a few sectors the Commerce Commission should have in their
sights."
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